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{"id":65694,"date":"2020-04-02T07:19:53","date_gmt":"2020-04-02T11:19:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.beet.tv\/?p=65694"},"modified":"2020-04-02T07:19:53","modified_gmt":"2020-04-02T11:19:53","slug":"digital-will-accelerate-through-v-shaped-recession-sorrell","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dev.beet.tv\/2020\/04\/digital-will-accelerate-through-v-shaped-recession-sorrell.html","title":{"rendered":"Digital Will Accelerate Through V-Shaped Recession: Sorrell"},"content":{"rendered":"

The COVID-19 pandemic will bring a recession unlike any seen before, one that will\u00a0 see many brands cut advertising budgets – but it will also accelerate existing digital transformation trend lines and produce new ones.<\/p>\n

That is the view of Sir Martin Sorrell, executive chairman of his S4 Capital<\/a> vehicle and former WPP CEO.<\/p>\n

Sorrell has a voracious thirst for economic data, always quick to join the dots and cast forward on high-level economic trends.<\/p>\n

“We’re in the eye of the hurricane,” he says in this interview with Beet.TV’s Andy Plesser, conducted over Zoom. “All the projections for Q2 are pretty awful<\/strong>. Goldman’s latest projection … for the US economy is GDP down 34%… It is pretty grim conditions at the moment.”<\/p>\n

Tech carries on spending<\/h2>\n

Sorell predicts a “V-shaped” recession<\/strong>, in which economies would bounce back in Q4 and the “panic mode” will be over.<\/p>\n

But he concedes Q2 will be “very painful”<\/strong>, saying that his clients are enduring ” extreme pressure and pain.”<\/p>\n

“What we see is the tech companies maintaining their patterns of spend<\/strong>,” Sorrell says. “They are deploying their budgets still.<\/p>\n

“(But) the FMCGs, the pharma companies, less so. Retailers, travel and hospitality have been hit badly. Those companies are certainly cutting their budgets<\/strong> – delaying and deferring and cutting.<\/p>\n

“But they are switching money to digital<\/strong>. I’m not just saying that. We are seeing a view developing that there should be an acceleration of this switch to digital … which will be permanent.”<\/p>\n

A new digital dawn<\/h2>\n

Sorrell is cautious to say he is not advocating brands should “spend your way out of this”, and he is aware that his own company’s bread-and-butter is, indeed, brands that either are digital or spend digital. But he does see three digital-growth trend lines emerging…<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Stay-at-home<\/strong> consumers will accelerate media, ecommerce and communications businesses.<\/li>\n
  2. Media owners like newspapers going digital-only during the pandemic “will be a permanent change<\/strong>“.<\/li>\n
  3. Enterprises will be more ready to enact digital transformation “because Q2 and beyond may be very tough and they’ll be willing to take the write-off” against digital investment<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Sorrell says the trend of “in-housing”, through which some brands have become keen to take on roles traditionally outsourced to ad agencies, is challenged by working from home.<\/p>\n

    Survey: 2020 will improve<\/h2>\n

    \"\"<\/p>\n

    Surveys summarized by eMarketer<\/a> show ad buyers think:<\/p>\n